Russia No response has come yet to 30 days of ceasefire It agreed to the United States and Ukraine after representatives from both countries participated in talks in Jeddah, Saudi Arabia, on Tuesday.

“I will talk to my Russian counterpart in the coming days,” National Security Adviser Mike Waltz, who attended the Jeddah talks, said during a press conference after that.

On Wednesday, Russian President Vladimir Putin is wearing military fatigue, He visited Kursk For the first time since then Ukraine incursion Last year, Russian war efforts are prepared.

But experts say it is unlikely that Russia will accept the US Ukraine’s proposal without its demand to fulfill it.

So what is the ceasefire proposal and what can Russia be used to?

What are the conditions for the ceasefire that the United States and Ukraine approved?

After the Jeddah talks, US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Voludimir Zelinski issued a joint statement specifying the conditions of a cease-fire.

The statement said that the two countries agreed to “a 30 -day immediate ceasefire.” He added that as a result, the United States lifted the stopping of military aid and the intelligence participation in Ukraine.

The document also stated that the discussion of Jeddah emphasizes the importance of humanitarian efforts during the ceasefire period. These include “the exchange of war prisoners, the release of civilian detainees, and the return of Ukrainian children who have been forcibly transferred.”

However, the proposal does not mention the sanctions on Russia or the security guarantees of Ukraine. It also does not mention that Ukraine is withdrawing the forces from the Russian Kursk region.

Trump was previously unacceptable The idea of ​​providing security guarantees to the United States, leaving this issue to European Ukraine allies.

However, according to the agreed proposal between the United States and Ukraine, the latter states that it wants its European partners to be “participating in the peace process.” Some European allies in Ukraine, such as the United Kingdom and France, are about Discuss security guarantees For the country.

On Wednesday, the Kremlin said he would do Details review From the US proposal before an evaluation.

Kremlin spokesman Dmitry Peskov said Russia will not push for a decision.

Talk to the Irish Taoiseach Michelle Martin at the White House On Wednesday, Trump said: “Our people will go to Russia now and we are talking. We hope that we can get a ceasefire from Russia.” Trump added that he had received “positive messages” about the ceasefire, but “a positive message does not mean anything.”

The multiple media reported that Trump’s special envoy to the Middle East, Steve Witkeov, will visit Russia to speak to Putin in the coming days.

How can Russia respond to a ceasefire?

Russia is unlikely to accept the ceasefire as it is, says many analysts.

I think [Russia] Marina Mirun, post -doctoral researcher at the Defense Studies Department at King’s College College in London, said that the refusal of the deal would be unimportantly wise, in diplomatic terms, but its acceptance now as it is, will not happen.

“It will be strange and outside its character if Russia is agreeing to the current proposal without submitting additional demands,” said Kiir Giles, a senior consultant at the London Chatham House Center, said.

“I may not see that Carmeen changes his primary strategic goal of subjecting Ukraine at San Diego State University,” said Michael Alexesev, a professor of political science at San Diego University.

What can Russia ask for a ceasefire?

Lifting penalties and security guarantees

Giles said that Russia has a “every incentive” to pressure “permanent restrictions on security guarantees granted to Ukraine” and the lifting of sanctions, among other potential demands.

Since the Ukraine war began in 2022, the United States and other allies in Ukraine imposed at least 21,692 Sanctions on RussiaTargeting individuals, media organizations, military sector, energy sector, aviation, shipbuilding and communications, among other sectors.

Alexesev said that the lifting of sanctions would help Russia “rebuild, re -assemble, and resume the war when they are ready, and when he sees the attention and resources of other major powers that have been converted elsewhere.”

The withdrawal of Ukrainian forces from Kursk

Miroun said that another request that Russia could make is to cleanse the Cursk region of the Ukrainian forces. On August 6, 2024, the Ukrainian forces launched a surprise The incursion into Russia KurskThe seizure of lands inside Russia.

Ukraine since then lost the land in Kursk and declared the Russian army Quick gains. Valerie Gerasimov told Putin during his visit on Wednesday that Russian forces have gained 1100 square kilometers (425 square miles) from Corsak.

“Until the ceasefire and everyone are carried out on the same page, the time will pass, which will give the Russians at least the time to restore Kursk to remove any possible negotiating rewards for Ukraine.”

We support Russia’s demands

“If the previous performance is any evidence, [Russia’s] “The demands of the United States will support,” said Giles.

“I don’t think Ukraine has any kind of way to dictate any rules here. The United States said,” This is your choice, you are no longer subject, you are an object. “This is what has already been clarified.”