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The population of the UK will rise by about 5 milliliters to 72.5 million in the contract to 2032, according to new data, driven by international deportation more than it was previously expected.

Over the course of 10 years until mid -2012, the population is expected to increase by 4.9 million, or 7.3 percent, from an estimated 67.6 million to 72.5 million, National Statistics Office He said on Tuesday.

It is expected that the entire increase of net deportation will come, while the natural change – the difference between births and deaths – is expected to be around zero.

ONS said she now believes that international migration will be larger than her in previous expectations. She assumes her latest expectations Low fertility And an increase in the expected life.

It is expected that the number of people of working age will increase by 4.1 million, or 9.4 percent, from 43.2 million to 47.3 million, during the same period.

Adam Corlette, the main economist at the decision institution, said: “The greater number of residents of work age means a greater economy, and more workers and higher tax receipts, which must provide a financial payment of about 5 billion pounds annually by the end of the contract. If it is Obr [Office for Budget Responsibility] These population expectations are used, and this will be welcome to the advisor, given the broader economic pressures it faces. “

James Roberts said from ONS that expectations “are based on current and previous trends, and no predictions about what may happen or not happen in the future.”

He said that the latest expectations were also increasingly highlighted Population agingRobards said that the number of people over 85 years old is expected to reach 3.3 million by 2047.

ONS explains that the national population expectations are not expected and do not directly explain the direct and future policy or economic changes. It is based on the assumption of clear international immigration in the long term of 340,000 people annually from mid -2018 on the rise, with an increase in previous expectations of 315,000.

“Certainly, these expectations are exaggerated because they do not seem to take into account the sharp decline in clear immigration that is already ongoing, as we know from separate statistics on the issued visas,” said Jonathan Ports, professor of economics and public policy at Kings College London.

Ons numbers Posted last November The net deportation to the UK showed more than 900,000 in the year until June 2024, the highest total annual ever, but decreased by 20 percent in 12 months to June 2024.

Ports added that the ons published on Tuesday assumed that the fertility would settle “while in recent years it was dramatically.” ONS is now assumed that a long -term fertility rate of 1.45, a decrease from 1.59 in previous expectations.

The latest figures showed that the fertility rate in England and Wales decreased to 1.44 children per woman in 2023, the lowest level since the similar data began in 1938.

The number of children under the age of 15 is expected to decrease by 797,000, from 12.4 million to 11.6 million, by mid -2012, according to The ONS.

On the other hand, it is expected that the number of people with a aged pensions will increase by 1.7 million during the same period, or 14 percent, from 12.0 million to 13.7 million, taking into account the planned increases of retirement to 67 years of both sexes.

The expected population growth in the UK contrasts with the already volatile population in many countries, including Italy, Japan and China. The German population is also expected to start shrinking in the next few years, according to the population expectations of the United Nations.

In expectations until 2047, ONS said that “net immigration is expected to be the only source of population growth in the UK over the next 25 years.”