Trump’s rush to strike a deal on Ukraine hands Putin the advantage

Over the course of three years of war, Russian President Vladimir Putin refused to stay away from his strict demands that would retreat from the current European security structure and in essence, Ukraine turned into a failed country.
In just one week, Donald Trump agreed to almost all of them.
The US President has publicly stood with Moscow, called on Putin to hold negotiations in his head without inviting Kiev or its European allies and adopting many talk points in the Kremlin.
On the last day alone, Trump blames Ukraine for the start of the war, accusing President Folodimir Zelinski of carrying out “terrible work” and described him as a “dictator”.
Sergey Radchenko, a professor at Johns Hopkins College for Advanced International Studies, said that Trump’s move to normalizing relationships has left Putin “he stands tall and proud.” He said: “The Russians and the Americans meet equally with partners – Putin is no longer the child who wears in the back of the semester.”
He added that the American president’s passion for a quick agreement plays for Putin. “Trump is the one who is walking in a hurry and who must take steps that may be harmful in the short term for interests. Radchenko said,” and Putin can wait. “
Putin said on Wednesday that he would meet Trump “with pleasure”, but any summit requires a large preparation. “We need to find acceptable solutions to both sides, and this is not easy,” he said.
Putin praised American negotiators in Riyadh as “completely different” from the former intermediaries. Putin said: “They were open to the negotiation process without any biases or judgments about what was done in the past,” Putin said.
US officials said the Trump administration witnessed that Riyadh was talking as an opportunity to measure whether the Russians were serious about ending the conflict. But the United States did not want negotiations to continue while Moscow extended the war.
The United States has offered the economic and geographical issues in the talks as a way to seduce Russia to end the conflict, and to propose benefits to re -participate.

But the Kremlin is likely to see that communication is a victory in itself, according to Alexander Gabov, director of the Carnegie Carnegie Eurasia Center in Berlin.
“They do not present it as a prize – it’s indeed the direction of travel,” he said.
The Trump administration did not say what concessions, if any, could be extracted from Russia in exchange for the fact that it has already excluded Ukraine to become a member of NATO or regain its lands that are subject to the Russian occupation. On Wednesday, Trump said that Zelinski “moves better quickly or will not remain a country.”
Trump also called Ukraine for a contract A new vote, Zelenskyy describes as “a dictator without elections” and the frequency of Moscow’s former criticism of the Ukrainian President.
According to the martial law imposed in response to Russia’s invasion in 2022, Zelinski remained as president after the end of his term in May last year. Putin said he was ready to hold talks with Zelenskyy, but he can sign a final agreement with a different Ukrainian leader.
The person who discussed the war with Putin in December said that the Russian leader had not abandoned his plans to install a doll system in Ukraine, the person who discussed the war with Putin said in December.
“The intelligence officer – and so he wants to solve it.” The person added that Putin’s preference is to end the war as he did in Chechnya in the early first decade of the twentieth century, when the war princes convinced Akdat Kadirov to replace The two sides are responsible for the war -torn area.
A former senior official in Kermelin said that Putin’s position in any talks may be more strict than it was in the negotiations in the spring of 2022, when he was looking to reduce the size of the armed forces in Ukraine and a ban on NATO membership.
“He has become stronger since then. The former official said:” The stars are in line with his interest. “
Russia has said it does not object to Ukraine’s accession to the European Union, but it is likely that it is necessary on conditions similar to Austria, which is not a member of NATO and has exemptions from the defensive obligations of the bloc because of its policy of neutrality.
The official added that Moscow will also discuss the cost of post -war reconstruction in areas under its control. The Kremlin will not agree to pay any compensation to Ukraine, and it is likely to demand the access to the money prepared for reconstruction and the non -freezing assets that have been frozen in the West.
The former official said that it is imagined that Putin agreed to swap lands controlled by Ukrainian in the Kursk border area of Russian -controlled lands in Kharkiv’s nearby and could admit “Kiev” in other areas demanded by Moscow if Ukraine does the same.
The transition to the United States to normalize relations with Russia has spared European countries, especially after Trump envoys suggested that US security guarantees are “not forever” and that Moscow is no longer an existential threat to the continent.
Europe also remembers the previous efforts to communicate with former presidents Barack Obama and Joe Biden, as well as the failed peace process led by France and Germany.

“Given the tracking record of re -appointments, I do not see why the American delegation should trust their Russian counterparts. We need to keep pace with economic and military pressure.”
But Putin has yet proven that he was adept at paying Trump buttons, Gabov said.
“The Putin Stadium is that we are united and united countries with conservative values that can solve together issues, such as controlling weapons and the Middle East. Russia has unlimited resources of rare ground minerals [to sell to the US] I reached some big numbers to persuade Trump. He said that American companies can return to the Russian market.
“You create the image in which the main partnership and reset with Russia are just around the corner, and Ukraine is an obstacle to obtaining this great award of better relations with Russia. And you blame bad relations on Obama and Piden, and play Trump’s dissatisfaction with them.”
However, the United States may ultimately rush Russia, however, is subject to the basic imbalance in its relationship and difficult issues on the war in Ukraine.
“Any joint investments between the United States in Russia in strategic sectors such as technology will pose major security threats to the United States as it does in the Chinese issue,” said Maria Sharana, a research colleague at the International Institute for Strategic Studies. “The Cold War environment is no longer any longer, as one country can be successfully rowed from the other to prevent technology transfers and information flows.”
Some American officials have also expressed his hope that closer relations with Moscow would be able to exfoliate Russia away from its alliance with China, which is the main economic supporter of the invasion.
“They have this view of Russia as a subordinate to China, which is a terrible matter for Putin’s dignity that he wants to get out,” Radchenko said. “Putin will put every privilege and then return to China to improve his influence. It is not a fool.”
Additional reports by Christopher Miller in Kyiv; Stephen Bernard’s maps fee
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2025-02-19 16:48:00