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Your guide to what the American elections mean 2024 for Washington and the world

Donald Trump is proud of the inability to predict and his coefficient approaches in life. These tactics may work well in real estate business or debt restructuring. But when it comes to international policy, Trump’s transactions are likely to prove very expensive for the United States itself as well as for global stability.

One of the great advantages that the United States has about China or Russia is that it has a global network of allies, created in the long run. Countries like Japan, Germany, Australia, Canada and Britain have often questioned the wisdom of the United States’ private policies. But they were stuck with America because, in the last resort, they believed that their alliances were based on a set of common interests and values.

The US tariff war launched by the United States – along with the hostile language that is often hostile to the Trump administration – has rocked that heart confidence. Mark Carney, the new Prime Minister of Canada, says the United States “is no longer a reliable partner.” Friedrich MirzThe next adviser to Germany, called on Europe to “achieve independence” from America. Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albaniz says the Trump administration’s tariff in Australia is “not a friend’s work.”

The White House may tend to reject these types of statements as an empty emotion. This is true that many governments, which reach customs tariffs, may now scramble to make a deal with Trump to try to reduce the damage to their economies. But they are also likely to make long-term adjustments to their policies-in order to reduce their exposure to American bullying. This, over time, will have long -term consequences for America’s wealth and strength.

There are economic and strategic effects. One clear effect on American arms sales can be. With the threat of the United States in Greenland, the lands of Denmark, NATO ally, the motivation for “purchasing European weapons” is growing within the European Union. One of the logical reasons that Trump has provided for his protectionist schedule is the need to care for America. But it will be a bold foreign investor who is committed to a long -term investment in the United States, when customs tariff policies change frequently and when any increasing dependence on America can be considered a potential crane that is exploited.

Then there is the geopolitical cost of Trump’s willingness to roam his allies. It seems that the crowd of the president believes that America has a few strategic stake in the future of Europe, so it may not mind losing the confidence of their allies across the Atlantic.

However, the Trump administration appears to be very committed to containing Chinese power in the Indian Pacific Ocean. The Biden Administration, which participated in this commitment, did a good job in building the network of alliances and friends in America in the regions. But Trump’s tariff is the most important allies in America’s most important allies in Northeast Asia-Japan and South Korea. Chijo Ishiba, the Japanese Prime Minister, launched a Trump tariff as a “national crisis” and held a comprehensive emergency talks.

The likes of Japan, South Korea and Australia were ready to work with the United States to contain and manage Chinese power because they believed that in the last resort, the United States would fight to defend it. But Trump’s actions are increasingly unpredictable transactions Destroying that confidence. The coalition system in America will now have great pressure – in favor of China.

The American President has greatly changed the Republican Party and America’s image itself. Within a few days, he decreased decades -trusted global relations. The task of reviving such confidence, even after Trump is no longer in office, will be huge – if possible at all.