President Donald Trump is expected to advance Comprehensive definitions We have imports on April 2, which was called “Liberation Day”. But if the American commercial partners decide to retract anti -science measures, a global trade war will raise inflation and slow growth, warns experts.

No one is quite sure of what will happen next. What is the number that Trump will choose for his new tour of the definitions? Ten percent? Twenty percent? Or the 25 percent average imposed on steel, aluminum and cars?

Signs of questions also remain about whether Trump will apply a global tariff, or whether he will attend the individual increases of countries that can be negotiated-what is called the “mutual tariff” approach.

Trump’s backward ads since February Unscrewed marketsWith investors struggling to measure it if its definitions are here to survive, or the compromise tactic to extract revenues and concessions from economic partners.

But in uncertainty, Trump’s wide message remained fixed: For a long time, he accused other countries of exploiting the United States in trade, as he threw his protective agenda according to the necessity to revive local manufacturing and reshape American jobs. He also wants to use definitions to finance tax cuts in the future.

What will be announced April 2?

Donald Trump on April 2 is the latest in a group of trade launched by the US President since his return to the White House in January.

While the details about Trump’s plans, “Liberation Day”, are still unclear, his administration pledged to strike countries with duties equal to definitions and non -party trade barriers, such as support, which they impose on American exports.

Trump said that the definitions that will be announced soon will be applied to.All countriesCold water is hoping that the economies that have greater trade imbalances will be targeted with the United States.

But if the definitions are subject to negotiation, and can be reduced over time, this will leave a maneuvering space for the various commercial fees of the country.

What did Trump really say?

Speaking at the White House on Monday, Trump said his definitions will be.More beautifulOne of the policies of American commercial partners.

“We will be very nice compared to what they were,” Trump told reporters. “

When asked about the details, he said: “You will see within two days.”

He also repeated the usual conversation point that the United States has benefited from it by its commercial partners and said that the measures would return “a huge wealth to our country.”

Although Trump said on Sunday that the customs tariff will be applied to “all countries”, he recently stated that he was “open” to contract deals with countries to avoid definitions after the announcement of April 2.

Which of the Trump tariff was appointed to become valid?

In addition to the comprehensive definitions of tomorrow, other measures – including a 25 percent tariff Canada and Mexico And the duty of 25 percent on All auto imports – She is appointed to enter into force on April 2.

The other charges were already valid for several months. On February 3, the Trump administration imposed an additional 10 percent tariff on All goods from ChinaIn addition to the various customs duties imposed during the Biden and first Trump departments. Then, on March 5, Trump doubled the tariff rate on Chinese imports To 20 percent.

Elsewhere, Trump provided a 25 percent tax All imports of steel and aluminum On March 11.

How does markets interact with the advertisement?

Trump’s ads sent back and forth about the definitions Tension through financial marketsWith investors struggling to determine whether he intends to make his tariff permanent or seen as a compromise segment in future commercial negotiations.

On Sunday, the market nerves intensified after Trump said that his tariff would include “all countries”. Asian stocks fell sharply on Monday in anticipation of more disturbance in world trade.

In Toyko, the Japanese Nikkei Index has lost 4 percent and a 3 percent fell from South Korea. European markets have also seen sales – FTSE 100 decreased in the UK by 0.9 percent, DAX decreased in Germany by 1.3 percent and CAC lost 1.6 percent in France.

Gold, which is one of the traditional security assets during the periods of market fluctuations, rose above 3100 dollars for the first time, as it was traded at a record level of $ 3,106.79 an ounce.

“It will be strange if the markets respond fierce to announce” Trump’s Liberation Day “. He has been talking about it three months ago.”

However, he pointed out that “most investors buy the idea that excessive ventilation was good for companies’ profits and efficiency, so if you are looking for the opposite, it will be negative for international supply chains and stock markets.”

From Perkins’ point of view, “There will be no major negative reaction in the financial markets until the definitions begin to make real damage to the American economy, for example in the form of higher unemployment. It will be impossible to ignore.”

How do countries prepare?

we Commercial partners It has already started responding to Trump’s tariff, which increased the escalating trade war.

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carne Trump’s moves were described as a “direct attack” on Canadian workers.

“We will fight the American definitions with our reprisal trade measures that will have the maximum impact in the United States and the minimum effects here in Canada,” Carney said.

After Trump increased prices on steel and aluminum on March 11, Canada – the largest foreign resource for the United States for industrial minerals – announced 25 percent of the reprisals of $ 29.8 billion in Canadian dollars ($ 20.7 billion).

Likewise, the European Commission, the European Union’s executive arm, said it will impose counter definitions on up to 26 billion euros (28 billion dollars) of American goods after the announcement of March 11.

For its part, the head of the European Commission Ursula von der Lin “It will be bad for companies” and “worse for consumers.”

“The European Union will continue to seek negotiations, while protecting its economic interests,” von der Lain said in a post on March 26.

Japanese Prime Minister Shigro Ishiba said his government would consider “appropriate measures” in response to the definitions.

“While some countries, like China, may respond to dream measures, most of them are likely to search for bilateral agreements with the United States,” Henry Gao, an expert in Chinese trade at the University of Singapore for Administration, told the island.

As such, Gao expected ” [global economic] The situation must be settled within one month or so … However, if it takes it behind, the global economy may be severely disrupted, which leads to global recession. “

Will the definitions affect the American economy?

While Trump has incited his commercial plans as a blessing for the United States, his policies have prompted economists and businessmen on consumer prices in the United States. About half of all American consumer goods come from abroad.

on CarsFor example, the president and CEO of Autos Drive America, Jennifer Savavian said, “The definitions imposed today will make them more expensive to produce and sell cars in the United States, which ultimately leads to high prices.”

Economists fear that adding customs tariffs to imported goods will increase inflation as importers transfer costs to consumers. The data released last Friday showed this The feeling of consumer has decreased across the United States In March, its lowest level since 2021.

Goldman Sachs recently raised her appreciation for the possibility of an American recession over the next 12 months to 35 percent, an increase of 20 percent previously, and warned that this would lead to more losses in Wall Street.

For Berkins in Ts Lombard, “The danger is the definitions provided with DJ to reduce costs. If you will go to financial bonds and financial business restrictions, you need to remove monetary policy. “

As the Ministry of Governmental efficiency (DOGE), headed by Elon Musk, Search operations through federal computer systems To reduce the programs funded by taxpayers, the technical billionaire says it works to reduce general spending to reduce the federal deficit.

“The general goal is to try to get a trillion dollars from the deficit,” Musk said during a joint interview on Fox News with President Trump in February.

But Perkins pointed out that any US interest rate cuts are “unlikely” as a result of the inflationary effects of Trump’s commercial policies. The result, according to Berkins, is that the American economy faces a “dangerous” pressure group.