Paris, France – On Sunday, an opinion poll expected that Marine Le Pen, the leader for a long time in the far right of the French, would secure up to 37 percent of the vote in the 2027 presidential elections, which is higher than 22 points from 2022 and 10 points against any other candidate.

“The page has definitely turned,” said Frederick Dabi, IFOP.

The poll saw that the Le Pen brand had succeeded. For years, she sought to normalize the hard right and the distance from the rule of Jean -Marie Le Pen, her late father, who established the National Front, a party that lived on the political parties.

But on Monday, Marine Le Pen and her updated National Party were treated.

I was convicted of embezzlement of the European Union’s money, Exclusion She has a five -year -old candidate for public positions – immediately effective.

Although Le Pen is planning to appeal, the ruling prevents her from participating in the 2027 presidential elections in France.

“We are very surprised in France.”

The criminal court ruling in Paris France was shocked.

While the supporters of Le Pen are the case as a political attack, its opponents feel comfortable seeing the independence of the judicial system prevailing.

“We are very surprised in France because it is very rare for the politician to condemn it. It happened, but he is still very rare, especially at this level of fame,” said Beptisti Coleen, a 29 -year -old theater producer from Lyon.

In recent years, voting in favor of the National Rally, or RN by the first letters of French, has become more typical across France, and Le Pen can like voters by recycling the trial in its favor.

“I hope people will understand condemnation. In the end, it’s very simple: it’s the embezzlement of money,” Collin said. “I think the judges were completely not biased. It is expected that if they retreat in the cabinets, they will be stretched.”

The extreme right immediately pushed against the court ruling.

Jordan BardelaThe 29 -year -old Protig Le Pen described her temporary punishment as a “democratic scandal”.

“The line of defense of Le Pen is a scandal, and it was intentionally done, it is a coup,” Collin said. “It will be a cultural battle between those in the far right who say it is terrible and anyone else believes that condemnation is normal.”

Analysts said that the ruling could push France to more political chaos if the far -right is exploited successfully.

“There is a risk that she is seen as a martyr, as is the case in the victim against the regime,” said Reem Sarah Alwan, the French researcher and has a doctorate in public law.

The Le Pen is a platform against globalization and immigration, which pushes to monitor the most stringent borders and a lower number of environmental policies.

The 56 -year -old has settled new faces such as Barilla, the party leader now, so that she resonates with younger voters.

Bardela, a clear heir?

Alouane said, given the normalization of the extreme right, as she fears the prevailing media and politicians of the delivery of Le Pen and the unlikely to criticize the legal system of France.

“Le Pen is just convicted by the judicial system for a serious crime, and it is already using one of the main news networks to defend itself,” said Alwan, a cited appearance on the French TF1 channel, noting that Le Pen on the French TF1 channel on Monday evening. “We need to focus the last on what is at stake and not to give Le Pen the influence to use this entirety to unify its position and party in the main current.”

After the ruling, Le Pen in 2027 cannot be nominated unless it appeals and received a more lenient sentence, but the appeal process is slow in France.

“It seems unlikely that it usually takes about two years to appeal the court,” said Diane de Vinmunst, a French journalist who focuses on politics and history, on the island. “But if Le Pen lost its appeal, RN will remain able to say that the court was corrupt and prevented it from running. Then, Barilla will be the apparent heir.”

Parilla is the rising star of RN and is likely to climb to replace Luban as a candidate for the next party’s presidency if Luban’s conviction is supported.

“It is exactly what the party needs,” said De Vinmont. “Bardela has really mastered social media. He is a young man who has not even had many scandals yet.”

In the far right, a large part of the young voters in France-within two years helped the percentage of children between the ages of 18 and 24 in favor of RN in the French parliamentary elections.

“There is noise about RN.

Observers said that if Le Pen succeeded in expediting the case and winning its attractiveness before the presidential elections, you are likely to feel the encouragement to claim that the case was revenge against its political agenda.

“You will be able to run on a platform,” said De Vinmont

The President of Judge Panditi de Breyots has already refuted this idea.

“No one is being tried to participate in politics,” she said in a statement.

Colin said it expected the party to suffer because of the ruling.

“I think it is a catastrophe for her and the bus,” he said. “I think Bardela is much less efficient than Luban. He is very young, and he is not used to it. Bardela has not yet discussed many discussions, and those who did it have not come out in his favor. I think Lab knows that Bardilla has much less opportunities to elect it more than it.”

The court’s decision will not change the current role of Le Pen as a project in the French Parliament – unless President Emmanuel Macron launches another round of CaptureAs he did in June 2024.

If so, the le Pen will not be allowed to run again. With the current divisions and the inability of Parliament to pass a budgetAnother solution is a possible scenario.

With Monday’s ruling, Le Pen joined a club of other prominent French politicians accused of financial crimes.

Former President Nicholas Sarkozy is awaiting the judgment to accept the contributions of the illegal presidential campaign from the Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi. Former lime minister Francois Fion was condemned to employ his wife as fraud as an employee when he was a member of Parliament.

“There are judicial winds blowing against politicians. Personally, I think they are wonderful, and operations appear working, and we are still in a working democracy,” Collin said.