The Horn of Africa is a turbulent region whose history and contemporary facts are intertwined with the eastern Middle East. Just like the Middle East, it wanders in the strategic waters that preserves millions of people and connects continents and thus it is the scene of the geopolitical competition. The great powers and regional players revolve permanently from their extensive strategic resources, which leads to conflicts that avoid the region and its people.

Eritrea has always been an enthusiastic participant in this dispute theater. Nearly half a century ago, Eritrea participated in different degrees in almost every conflict in the region. Sudan, South Sudan, Somalia and Ethiopia have all affected its intrigues. The aspirations of ISAIAS AFWERKI, the first and only head of Eritrea since 1993, have witnessed his country to participate in many conflicts miles away from its borders, including those in the Great Lakes region. Isaias seems to be not only attracted to conflict, but rather searches for it and thrives in it, such as Pyromaniac who cannot resist fires.

ISAIAS era for 32 years in Eritrea is a warning story. Since independence, the country lacks all the traditional tools of governance that most countries consider to be rejected. No constitution. No parliament. No civil service. In Eritrea, there is only one executive, legislative and legal authority – President Essas.

In Eritrea in Isis, military service is mandatory and unlimited. Young Eritreans often risk everything to try to escape the age of the president. As such, the main export of the Eritrean state, regardless of illegal gold, is the large number of youth and women who risk their lives illegally to the neighboring countries and Europe. Eritreans flee their country in large numbers to escape forced recruitment in military service and other broad facts established by the regime.

The war is the main work and preoccupation of the Eritrean state. It seems that the struggle here and there, and the support of rebels, rebels, or governments that seek war and division throughout the region is the reason for the Eritrean state.

Today, ISAIAS is participating again in the destroyed maneuvers as predictable.

After years of strong hostility to clashes and directing them with the People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) – the party that ruled the Ethiopian Tigray region since 1975 and waged a war against the federal government from 2020 to 2022 – ISAIAS is now trying to exploit the sections within the group.

History is long and bitter. In the late 1990s, the fall between Eritrea and Ethiopia broke out in a bloody war. After years of bloodshed, Prime Minister Abi Ahmed managed to secure a peace agreement between the two countries in 2018 and received the Nobel Peace Prize for his efforts.

Unfortunately, reconciliation with Eritrea has not provided long -term peace profits. Because, for ISAIAS, the construction of trade and infrastructure links between Ethiopia and Eritrea was not interesting. He had no appetite for economic cooperation, although he was useful for both countries.

When TPLF launched its fateful offer to restore power in Ethiopia by canceling the activation of Prime Minister Abi in 2020, ISAIAS saw his opportunity. Eritrean forces rose to Tigray, leaving the destruction in their wake. The Pretoria peace agreement in 2022, which ended the conflict between TPLF and the Ethiopian government, was a diplomatic victory for Ethiopia and the African Union. But it was a personal setback for Liab, who flourishes in the conflict and sees peace as an obstacle to his efforts to expand his influence.

Soon it became clear that ISAIAS wanted the conflict in the Tigray region indefinitely and Ethiopia to bleed in forgetting. To nullify the peace agreement in Pretoria, it designed a militia in the Ethiopian state of Amhara. Recently, he also found a common cause and joined elements within TPLF who were not satisfied with the peace agreement.

Its sarcastic and dangerous machines are now threatening to retract the Pretoria peace agreement. A faction of TPLF and its armed supporters openly express their intention to dismantle the temporary administration that was created in accordance with the peace agreement and tearing the entire peace deal. The effects of this development will be disastrous, whether for Ethiopia or the wider region.

The risks cannot be higher. To western Ethiopia, Sudan consumes the civil war. To the east, Somalia is struggling to rebuild after decades of gradual collapse. Through the coast, extremist groups acquire ground. A possible return of the conflict to the Tigray region in this context must be evaluated. The chaos belt from the coast to the Africa century will be catastrophic. You will encourage groups such as youth and ISIL (ISIS), creating new havens for terrorism and disrupting global trade through the Red Sea.

The consequences of renewal in the conflict in the century will not depend on the borders of Africa. Refugee waves are heading to Europe and abroad, which already increases the tension of fragile systems. You will find extremist ideologies with fertile ground, reaching the Middle East. World powers, from Washington to Beijing to Brussels, has a share of what is happening here. The stability of the century is a common interest.

The world must behave. Diplomatic pressure is needed to deter those who want to see an end to peace, such as ISAIAS. The Pretoria peace agreement must be defended. Regional cooperation with investments in trade, infrastructure and governance must be stimulated. This is not just an African problem. It is a global challenge.

If the century descends into chaos, the effects of ripples will be feeling everywhere. But if peace is rooted, the region may become a bridge – connect the continents, enhance trade and the possibility of opening capabilities. The choice is blatant, and time to work now.

The opinions expressed in this article are the author of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position of the editorial island