Taipei, Taiwan – China’s failure to achieve the goal of the main carbon emissions has raised concerns about its ability to achieve carbon neutrality, a possibility that is decisive in global efforts to avoid the worst effects of climate change.

Carbon intensity in China – measuring carbon emissions per unit of GDP (GDP) – 3.4 percent in 2024, lost the official goal of Beijing of 3.9 percent, according to the National Statistics Office.

China is also behind its long -term goal of lowering the carbon intensity by 18 percent between 2020 and 2025, as defined by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) in its last five -year plan.

Under the “double goals” in China, President Xi Jinping pledged to reach the peak of emissions before the end of the contract and the carbon neutrality by 2060.

China is closely monitored all over the world because of its contradictory location as the best pollutant in the world – responsible for about 30 percent of global emissions – and the world’s leading in renewable energy investments.

The country’s success or failure to achieve emissions will have significant implications for the efforts of the international community to maintain average temperatures from a height of more than 1.5 ° C (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) higher than pre -industrial levels, which is a standard set by the United Nations to avoid “effects” of regular change.

The chances of the planet be able to maintain less than 1.5C threshold in the long run are already in doubt, After 2024 it became the first evaluation year in history, as the temperatures ended this limit.

Although carbon’s intensity is just one of the criteria that Beijing uses, it provides important visions on how to run carbon throughout the economy.

“Although the economy continued to grow, the decrease in emissions in relation to this growth was not as quickly as intended,” said Moy island.

Moi said that the second largest economy in the world has relied heavily on industrial growth to calm the economic recession caused by the Covid-19s, but this in turn led to an increase in energy demand.

While the Chinese economy officially grew by 5 percent in 2024, the demand for electricity grew by 6.8 percent on an annual basis, according to government data.

Carbon emissions grew 0.8 percent on an annual basis.

Heatwives have been an additional challenge records of emissions by disrupting energy production in electrical power dams, forcing the authorities to compensate for a deficiency with coal energy.

Despite the setbacks, Beijing has made great achievements in renewable energy, according to Erik Fishman, the first director of the Lantau Group, an Energy Consultant Company in Hong Kong.

Last year, China faced 14.5 percent of the total energy demand with wind and solar energy and another 13.4 percent with electrical energy, according to government data.

Fishman said that the country faced about 75 percent of its additional growth in energy demand – 500 out of 610 hours of demols – with renewable energy, on the basis of government data analysis.

This number represents “huge amounts of clean energy” almost equivalent to annual energy consumption in Germany, and Fishman Al -Jazeera said.

The motivation behind a lot of this growth was government support, including from the highest CCP levels.

Xi Jinping, the ruling ideology that was repeated in the Chinese constitution, states that China should strive towards an “environmental civilization”.

In 2021, Xi announced that “the high energy consumption and high emissions that do not meet the requirements must decrease firmly.”

In the same year, China launched its commercial emissions, which is the largest carbon trading market in the world, under which companies that produce emissions are less than their appointed allowance can sell their unused suits for pollutants that exceed their borders.

Annika Patel, an analyst in China in the carbon Bakhzi, said that Xi had called on China to focus on “new quality production powers” and move to more high -end manufacturing and innovation.

“[China] Historically, it was seen as the “world factory” but with a focus on the so-called “old three”, which are all low-value products-devices, clothes and games. Now he wants to shift towards green growth and “new three”, which are solar panels, electric cars and lithium -ion batteries, “Patel Al Jazeera said.

CCP will issue the latest round of carbon emissions from 2026 to 2030 in addition to its next five -year plan later this year, Patel said, which will affect the direction of the public and private sectors.

Yao Zha, global policy consultant for Greenpeace East Asia, said while China is on the right way to reach Peak Carbon before 2030, whether it can leave the coal completely in the long run fewer.

“Carbon neutrality will require many structural changes in the energy and economy sector in China as a whole. These changes must start after a short period,” Yao told the island of the island.

“While Chinese policy makers are good at supporting the clean technology industry, they tend to postpone these structural reforms to the subsequent time frame – and perhaps after 2035 – this is a real concern.”