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Shock Marine Le Pen verdict rocks French far right

“amazing.” That was the only word that was pronounced under her breath by Marine Le Pen storming a courtroom in Paris this morning.

The court left early – before hearing that it was prevented from running for five years after being convicted of embezzling the European Union’s funds – she certainly excluded her from standing in the French presidential elections for the year 2027.

Without waiting for the judge to pronounce the full details of the ruling, the head of the National Assembly knew that its political goat was cooked.

There will be no comfort waiting for the appeal. The tape was to run for real and immediate positions.

The prison sentence will be suspended for a period of four years, two of which will be suspended, waiting for the appeal.

But her political plans have died.

It can be a virgin Loop better, perhaps, in the context of the moment.

The consensus had almost established itself through the political world of France, which this final punishment was unable to, in the end – in the end.

Le Pen’s followers were not the only ones who said that. Its enemies, from Jean Luke Milchon on the far left, agreed to Prime Minister Francois Bayro at the center and Minister of Justice Gerard Darmanin on the right.

Everyone said that Marine Le Pen was a very important figure that could not be removed from the political scene at the penalty of the judge’s pen.

All the justification of the legal argument. There was no condition for the judge, bénédicte de perthuis, to request the immediate importance of running for positions. The judge had the latitudious line. They believed that Mrs. De Pythwis would take into account the national context, and the insult that was held for democracy if it is supposed to be spent first in the 2027 presidential elections of the race.

But they were all wrong. The judge said that the law was the law.

In fact, the law has been tightened recently – by politicians who are now complaining about its application – to make the punishment for misuse of public funds already very severe. Well, the judge said in many words, and now let the politicians absorb their medicine.

Perhaps Marine Le Pen was naive not to predict this result. Sure, it looks as if the National Rally Party was not uniquely prepared.

So, while they meet in the emergency session after the ruling, the party leaders are in a dilemma.

Do they continue as if there was a chance to work for Marine Le Pen in 2027?

In theory there is still a possibility (small). I have already made an appeal. The appeal can be accelerated and at the end of this year or early 2026. The ruling will be followed in the spring.

The listening session can lead to a shorter period of inappropriateness, or completely remove it – in which case it can run. But the opportunities must be considered slim.

Or, should they move forward in the B-i.e. 29-year-old party, Jordan Bartella, as the man who will run in Marine Le Pen?

This may be a more realistic assessment of what awaits us. But resorting to Bardela very quickly will be inappropriate. In any case, not everyone in the party is a fan.

Behind Marine Loop Ben, everyone can unite. Behind Bardela, not much.

On this, on many other questions, the decrease in the political earthquake is unclear.

What, for example, will the impact on RN vote?

In the short term, we can anticipate a protest and increase to the party’s support. Why? Because what happened is accurately fits with RN’s novel that the Shaabi right is the victim of the “regime”.

Nobody is likely to vote for RN seriously carrying her against Marine Le Pen to fund her party illegally using Parliament’s funds in the European Union. They all know that every French political party has resorted to similar methods in the past.

In the same manner, the “draconian” penalty-which is prevented from standing for the presidency-will be explained as a sign of honor: evidence that it alone stands before the forces-which.

In the long run, the support may not be very strong. The truth is that Marine Le Pen is one of the huge assets of RN. This woman who suffers from the battle, emotional, loving cats, and solid treatment, which has long been held in a great emotion by her supporters, which she feels personally.

Jordan Parilla is also a common character, but in his time, it is difficult to see him filling her shoes. With Marine Le Pen out of the image, RN loses a lot of its attractiveness.

What is certain is that many potential candidates in the French right-wing-such as Interior Minister Bruno Retario-Seron in Bardela’s nomination for themselves.

The other unknown is revenge.

Marine Le Pen remains a member of the National Assembly, where a bloc of 125 – the largest parliament. So far, this large bloc has not been used to try to overthrow the government of the besieged Prime Minister Francois Bayro, who is struggling despite the lack of a majority.

These days may end.

Why should anyone do any favorites now, they will say in RN HQ. Why don’t the house fall?

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2025-03-31 16:19:00

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