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How will Germany’s Friedrich Merz build his coalition government?

German conservative leader Friedrich Mirz has spent the past two months in stirring socialist Democrats in the country-blames them for the stagnant economy, illegal immigration and the rise of the extremist right.

Now that they appeared as their only potential alliance partners, he wants to be friends again.

MirzWho is preparing to become a consultant after the Christian Democrats (CDU/CSU) won the federal elections on Sunday, the government of the Democratic Democratic Party said “what we want.” He was now “determined to hold constructive, good and rapid talks” with the outgoing adviser party, Olaf Schools.

Who are the main players and the speed of the conclusion of the talks?

Mirz indicated that he will “hold talks in the next few days” with the Democratic Democratic Party, and sets himself the goal of signing an alliance agreement “on Easter”, in the second half of April.

Your negotiating partner will be Lars Klingbeil, the co -commander of SPD, although he also said that he intends to meet the Scholz to ensure a smooth transfer of power. Advisors indicated that MERZ indicated that the consultations will happen to ensure that the Scholz, who will remain the list on the list, represents the views of the future leader abroad. Chuls will attend the European Union emergency summit next week to discuss the European defense.

Lars Klingbeil and Olaf Scholz
Participated SPD leader Klingbeil, left, and Olaf Schuls, outgoing advisor © Ronny Hartmann/AFP/Getty Images

The two parties will also create joint working groups to draft the coalition agreement.

It appears that both SPD and conservatives are determined to move quickly. Klingbeil, 47, who is expected to become the new president of the SPD parliamentary group, said his party is “ready to hold talks” with Merz.

Klingbeil said that he will quickly reorganize his party in the wake of the worst defeat in the elections since 1887. “The world is very troubled and does not wait for decisions.”

“We see what the new US government does or not doing.” Klinengille, who was a party spokesman in foreign affairs, said: “We do not know what decisions can also be taken in the next few days regarding Ukraine and Germany.” It is important. German policy To make Europe strong at this historical stage. This requires social democracy capable of work.

What are the thorny points?

CDU/CSU will focus on its pro -business economic agenda, which involves lowering taxes, lowering luxury and organization. Andreas Bush, a professor of political science at the University of Gotings, said that the Democratic Democratic Party will seek to maintain social spending, including a plan to secure the lower retirement level.

He said: “On one side, he must accept that the other can claim some successes.” “You need creative candy.”

Another possible dispute is migration. The issue was a source of friction during the campaign between Merz and Scholz when the former tried to arrest the government to tighten border examination and restrict asylum by passing a proposal to help the far -right alternative to Germany.

The parties may also collide on how to finance increased defensive spending needs and invest in infrastructure, while compliance with the strict limit of the constitution for public borrowing.

Henning Maeer, professor of public policy at the University of Toubingin, near the Social Democratic Party, said the constitutional reform of the debt brakes – one of the central demands of the party – will be a decisive feature of the government agreement.

It can be settled even before the coalition talks start. Now that it has become clear that connecting CDU/CSU-SPD will not retain the existence of superbastag tools required to pass constitutional changes, Mirz indicated on Monday that he will be explored Re -implementing the outgoing parliament To pass a constitutional amendment to the new legislature on March 25.

Another topic for discussion is to allocate ministries. CDU indicated her desire to manage the Ministry of Defense. The Social Democratic Party can demand the Ministry of Interior, in which the current defense name Boris Pistorius is revolving. CDU can maintain the Ministry of Finance, while SPD can be granted the Ministry of Foreign Affairs – as Klingbeil is likely to occupy this post.

Who has the strongest hand?

The coalition talks could reach obstacles, but none of the parties had a tremendous influence on the other hand.

“CDU has come out much stronger than SPD from the elections, but SPD is the only partner for the coalition in CDU,” Bush said. “At least the two parties agree that a quick procedure is needed and both indicated to focus on delivery.”

They have an example of the fateful Schulz coalition with the free vegetables and the free democrats who are still in their minds.

Soon this government descended from three parties to the widespread invasion of Russia to Ukraine, and ended before the period launched last year when Schulz launched the leader of FDP and Minister of Finance, Christian Lindner.

This time, there is a talk about a program that is renewed every year, which focuses on a few priority.

The Social Democratic Party can decide to set the coalition agreement to vote the member, which can add a layer of uncertainty, given the harsh campaign led by Mirz against the Social Democratic Party. Such a vote can delay the coalition talks by about two weeks, at Mair’s estimate.

How hard this coalition is?

The largest German parties can no longer call it a “major alliance”, as the Democratic Democratic Party has been deported to third through the far right of the extremist. A 52 % majority diminishes compared to the repetitions of this coalition structure.

The first thing called the four major coalitions, led by CDU leader Court George Kissinger, weighed 90 percent in Bondstag in 1966. Angela Merkel was the first of three governments with the Democratic Party in 2005 a majority of 73 percent and a fourth majority, in 2018 , Depending on 56 percent of the seats.

However, both sides will be collected together by fear of overcoming more flow by AFD and Linke dies the left.

“Our last chance may be,” Mirz said on Monday.

“I know this will be difficult.. But I rely on SPD to realize this urgently required.” “If we do not succeed in this parliamentary term, we will not talk about another natural change in the government in Germany in 2029.”

Data is visualized by Martin Stap

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2025-02-25 05:00:00

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