At the first time speech as an American president on March 4, Donald Trump said, “Europe has unfortunately spent more money in buying Russian oil and gas more than they spent on defending Ukraine.”

Trump was not known for his statistical accuracy, but on this occasion, he might be right.

A report released on Thursday by EBER, the energy research reservoir, estimates that European Russian gas purchases amounted to 21.9 billion euros (23.6 billion dollars) last year, compared to 18.7 billion euros (20.17 billion dollars) as financial aid to Ukraine.

This number did not include military aid.

The European Union estimates that it has spent or committed 194 billion dollars of military and financial aid and reconstruction to Ukraine since the beginning of the war.

Ember was anxious that it was far from spreading a plan he promised to get rid of Russian gas completely by 2027, the European Union, instead, increased its imports of Russian gas by 18 percent last year.

“The European Union needs to move away from the price and volatile fossil gas to achieve its security, economic and climatic goals, starting with a clear path for the gradual disposal of Russian gas.”

Vladeself Flasiok, Ukrainian presidential advisor, told the European Union ambassadors in January that Ukraine is annoyed by the imports of gas in the European Union from Russia last year.

“It is time to cut the flow of petroleum, which provides Russian aggression,” he said.

“It is true that Europe increased the imports of Russian gas in 2023 and 2024, and it will import more in 2025 because the United States cannot provide more,” Yiannis Bassias, a veteran warrior in the manufacture of hydrocarbons and the energy analyst at amphorenergy, told the island.

Russian gas [consumption in Europe] In 2024 it was about 45 billion cubic meters (BCM) and US gas was 57BCM. “

Russian energy sales have shrunk to Europe

The broader context of this is that the European Union has greatly reduced energy imports from Russia because Russia invaded Ukraine in February 2022.

The Oxford Institute for Energy Studies said in a new report on Wednesday, at its peak 2019, which reached Russian gas supplies to Europe 179bcm.

In the year that Russia has previously invaded Ukraine, Europe bought 142BCM of Russian gas.

“As a direct result of the factors associated with Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, this folder decreased to 31BCM only in 2024,” said the OIES report, and “could reach 16-18 BC in 2025.”

This is because all Russian gas was provided through pipelines that have now become vague.

An unknown twin actors blew up Nord I am a pipeline and one of the TWIN Nord Stream II pipelines in September 2022. The four pipelines are designed to carry 110bcm from gas annually to Europe.

33bcm of Russian gas can enter Europe through the Yamal pipeline that runs through Belarus and Poland, but Russia has stopped all the flow of gas by May 2022 – a step that is likely to be planned a year ago, says Oz – and Poland has banned more gas imports from Russia across its territory.

65BCM was another Russian gas imports through a pair of pipelines operating throughout Ukraine, but when the transport contract expired for five years last December, Ukraine did not renew itAnd the pipelines were different.

The only remaining Russian gas pipeline is Turkstream, which makes land in the eastern contradiction and continues in Bulgaria and Serbia to Hungary, but its ability is limited to 20BCM annually on the Bulgarian border, the point in which the European Union enters.

Jonathan Stern said that the director of OIS “LNG):” The great debate inside the industry is at the present time whether there is a ceasefire or peace, we will see a return to the gas of the Russian pipeline and relaxing sanctions on the Russian LNG (LNG). “

The report indicates that it will not be fast or easy, as the pipelines operators must now be saved from bankruptcy, and reforms and maintenance must be implemented, mutual penalties and a number of claims free from the contract that include hundreds of millions of dollars that were resolved through arbitration.

The European Union similarly tried to strip itself of Russian oil, but the results were mixed.

She imported 88.4 million tons of oil from Russia in 2022 before the sanctions in December of that year.

The official imports of the European Union of Russian Oil decreased by 90 percent by the end of last year, according to the European statistical service, but this is likely to be misleading because there were also illegal imports, two thirds of the Russian shadow fleet.

KYIV Economy College estimated that Russia achieved $ 189 billion through crude oil sales and repeated petroleum products last year, an increase of $ 178 billion in 2023.

Good policy for good economics

Ember believes that the European Union options make the bad economy.

It is estimated that in the event of all investments announced at gas import stations and pipelines, the European Union will receive a gas surplus 131BCM by 2030.

This, he says, in Europe of money to convert networks and move to renewable energy, expose them to fluctuating prices and an uncertain offer, because Europe imports almost all hydrocarbons.

Sterin did not agree with EMber.

When asked if the gas is a blocked investment by 2030, he said: “No-and most governments or UNHCR do [think so]Otherwise, they will not spend money on a new infrastructure. If you change the date until 2050, the answer may be different. “

Others believed that the European Union’s options were primarily about good policy rather than the economy.

Passias believed that “the big thing for the United States and Russia is to open navigational roads in the Arctic and explore the oil and joints of the joints there.”

He said that “they are implicitly collaborating under the leadership of Biden, and he is now official,” which indicates that the Ukrainian war stumbled on this cooperation.

“If one wants to be strict about it [energy imports]One can be. “

“Europe Russia sent the message it wanted to send -” We don’t rely on you. “It is very difficult to get a gas trade to scratch [diplomatically]Because, for the better or worse, Russia will always be there, you will always be a neighbor. So Europe keeps the door open. “

He pointed out that Europe was keeping the Russian gas giant, which was once Gazprom to support life.

“It is certain that Gazprom is not a trillion dollars company five years ago, and no one knows even if it will even be found in another five years,” said Aslaloglu. “now, [it] He is in a terrible financial strait. They can barely maintain the pipeline network inside Russia, which is 50 or 60 years old. “

Realism in exchange for values

Ukraine has a different view.

Its long -term drones inside Russia since last September have suggested a policy of stunning ammunition warehouses to one of the concession of Russian export revenues of gas, oil and repeated petroleum products, according to the analysis of the Ukrainian group of the sea.

Ukraine tried to kill Gazprom twice this year, as drones sent the attack to destroy the Roskaya pressure, which presses the gas in the remaining pipeline in Russia to Europe, Turkstream.

Russia said it had shot down nine drones near the compressor in the Russian Krasnodar area on January 13 and three drones on March 1.

Ukraine also tried to cut off the crude oil discharge station in Russia in Novoroscic in the Black Sea on February 17, and succeeded in destroying it.

Russian President Vladimir Putin gave priority to a ceasefire in Black Sea This week, it is likely to aim to prevent any other Ukrainian attacks on the main economic lifestyle of Russia.

It seems that Ukraine is not the only loser in the “Good Policy” scenario with Russia.

And the global energy review of the International Energy Agency found on Monday that the efforts of carbon removal in the world, in which Europe played a leading role, began to show real results.

Although global energy demand increased by 2.2 percent last year, emissions increased by only 0.8 percent, IEA, because renewable energy capacity increased by 700 GB – an annual number of 22 consecutive in a new installed energy.

This, as IEA said, has proven that “the growth in the emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) is still separated from global economic growth.”

Ember’s message was similar. Unlike Russia and the United States, Europe is the poor hydrocarbon.

According to Eurostat, reliance on imported hydrocarbons meant that it produced only 37 percent of the total energy needs last year.

Ember believes that the typical shift to clean energy technology will not only save Ukraine from Russia, but it may also save Europe from climate change.