Vladimir Putin’s initial plan to seize Ukraine within a few days ended in a disaster. But after Donald Trump has held direct peace talks with Moscow, bypassing Kiev and the Europeans, the Russian president is now closer to obtaining what he wanted from his invasion for three years.

Putin’s main ambition said that the people who spoke to him during the war is to create a new security structure that gives Russia a room for influence in Europe – as did the Yalta Conference of the Soviet Union at the end of World War II.

Now, the United States may be open to allow it to obtain it. Defense Minister Beit Higseth Refuse the aspirations of Ukraine To join NATO and restore its lands from Russia. Putin and Trump discussed “bilateral economic cooperation”, indicating that the United States is ready to decline its sanctions against Moscow.

Trump appears to be intended to retract the United States’ commitment to NATO and leave it to European countries to maintain peace.

“The situation seems to be more suitable for Putin than any time during the entire war over the past three years,” said Alexander Gabiviev, director of the Carnegie Russia Center in Berlin. “If the United States ends its military and diplomatic support, in addition to the participation of intelligence, Ukraine will be in a very difficult situation. It will be difficult to get out of it even if the Europeans are more involved.”

In Moscow, there was a clear joy after Wednesday An invitation between Trump and Putin.

“One invitation can change the course of history-today, has opened the leaders of the United States and Russia as the door for a future formed through cooperation, not confrontation,” said Kirill Dimitriev, head of the Russian sovereign wealth fund. The back channel talks to the United States about the exchange of prisoners.

The call dramatically for the US policy during the era of Joe Biden, Trump’s predecessor, who pledged to support Ukraine For “as long as it takes it” while working with other western countries to isolate Russia. Now, the United States said that victory over the conditions of Ukraine is not “realistic” – a transformation that Moscow praised the return to the mind.

“Finally, the Americans take things seriously without meaningless delusions who have been futing with the Ukrainians since the beginning of the war. It is a common sense. A former senior Russian official said,” and an opportunity to stop the war. “

The former official added that “Putin gets rid of any delusions after three days,” when Russia realized its plans to achieve Blitzkrieg’s victory. “But the Europeans and Americans have been under them since then, and they only started seeing the meaning now.”

Senior Ukrainian and Western officials said that Trump and Putin will try to secure a ceasefire through one of the upcoming dates: Easter, which will be celebrated by the Orthodox and Catholic churches on April 20 this year; Or May 9, when Russia celebrates the Soviet victory over Nazi Germany.

“Putin will want [a deal] On a prominent day like this. ”

The Kremlin said on Thursday that the leader of Russia would welcome Trump in Moscow at the May 9 celebrations. The two leaders have put forward the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia Potential For their next meeting.

In Moscow, the market’s reaction was to be blissful. The ruble strengthened 5 percent against the dollar and the main exchange index in Moscow increased by 2.8 percent to its highest level in nine months.

The pro -war militants praised the call as a sign that Russia’s victory was within reach.

“It should really harm the European Union and Ukraine to hear this. Constantine Malovev, a conservative pole that runs many Russian volunteers who fight in Ukraine, said, but their opinion is no longer important.” “Ukraine is just an excuse for the great dialogue between the two great countries on the beginning of a new era in human history.”

Putin told Trump that he wanted to “settle the causes of conflict”, which indicates this Russia Its goal of stopping Ukraine’s ambitions to join the West and the post -Cold War wish to decline.

Moscow also calls for Ukraine to control four southeast regions, which is not fully controlled by Russia, and expects the West to lift all the sanctions imposed since 2014.

“The most important thing for Russia is that Ukraine has the weakest possible security guarantees,” Jabov said. “Ideally, they want Ukraine to remain a country that there is no weak investment capabilities as possible and tear it internally.”

Dmitry Treenin, a research professor at the High Economic College in Moscow, said that Russia holds the upper hand on the battlefield, Putin can choose to continue the war if Trump does not agree to all his demands.

“Russia is serious about the need to resolve the Ukraine issue,” Trinin said. “It does not sue peace. It knows that the only guarantees that you can rely on are those that can be provided. The deal that is less than the vital security requirements of Russia will only ensure that there is another war soon. Russia will not allow it.”

He added: “The fighting will not stop at the beginning of the talks; if there is no deal, it will continue.”

Ukraine and its European allies Shocked In Trump’s passionate passion for Putin’s passion.

Why do we give [Russia] All they want even before the negotiations start? “The head of the European Union’s foreign policy, Kaja Callas, requested.

One of the European officials said: “It is completely unusual that the president chose to play his hand like this. I don’t think there is any position of negotiations remaining – it has put everything.”

However, what kind of a comprehensive deal will require large inputs of NATO members and Ukraine. “With regard to objective objective issues, it is too early to determine what Trump wants to present.” “It will need Ukraine and the allies on board these and relevant issues.”

The delegation that was appointed by Trump does not include negotiating with Russia, his special envoy on the conflict, Keith Keel, who was the most explicit American official to increase the pressure of sanctions on Moscow and maintain weapons supplies to Ukraine.

“The administration will not take Ukraine’s basic concerns seriously,” said a former US official. “Putin had seen that he was supporting his vision of the world and a step towards achieving his dream of deep friction between the United States and Europe.”

Trump defended to end the war soon for Kiev. A person close to Voludmir Zelinski told the Financial Times that Ukrainian President was not aware of Trump’s invitation with Putin until US President Kiev was called.

Zelinski said on Thursday that it is “not very nice” to know that Trump spoke to the discount of Ukraine first. He insisted that “he will not accept. Any bilateral negotiations on Ukraine without us.”

Zelinski added that what was necessary was “not to allow everything to go according to Putin’s plan.”

Kiev was hoping that Trump would convince a joint position in bringing Russia to the table, and offered to reach it Rare ground mineral reserves In exchange for support to us.

Currently, Kyiv and its European allies look, and from abroad, fearing that the United States will face an unfavorable deal with Putin to end the war – and adhere to the bill.

“Trump proves that he is bad as we were afraid,” said Voludmir Coleic, a professor of political science at Kiev Economics College. He is ready to conclude a deal with Putin at the expense of Ukraine, and he still wants to pay him Ukraine in mineral resources. The question is what Ukraine and Europe will do. “

Participated in additional reports from Paulina Ivanova in Berlin, Lucy Fisher and Daria Mussolova in London, Henry Foy in Brussels