When Hurricane Alfred was shown on the eastern Australian coast earlier this month, he also detonated the government’s election plans outside the path.

Hoping to take advantage of some rare good news about interest rates, Prime Minister Anthony Albaniz was on the threshold of announcing the polling date in April. Instead, he had to focus on responding to the natural disaster. One working minister told me, a decision that “God did.”

You may say that this was the subject of his government: major plans that often deviate from unpleasant surprises-attempting global economic conditions and the crisis of living costs that overcame many countries, foreign wars and difficulty politics, postpartum and increasing national division, and now giant storms.

“The global circumstances are real,” said Albaniz, who leads the Labor Party.

Nevertheless, despite these challenges, he says that his party has greeted. “The landing where we have a land a 747 [jet] On the helicopter pillow, “referring to an increase in the growth of wages and low inflation.

But he wants to reset a second period.

He stands on the way Peter Daton – a governor who leads the liberal party, is the dominant member of the so -called coalition with the National Party of Australia – who just indicated that he is not very popular.

But the race between them is now very narrow and the rise of independents or small parties so that many expect a suspended parliament.

How did you reveal to Prime Minister Albaniz?

His victory was seen in May 2022 as a new start after nine years of conservative referee.

The climate work was great on the agenda, as it dealt with the cost of living and restoring stability to lead the country.

But the legacy that was looking for his government was in the affairs of the indigenous population. He opened his speech in victory while repeating a pledge of the historical referendum on an original voice of parliament, a consulting body that would teach the government on issues that affect the people of the first nations.

Albaniz spent most of 2023 in “Yes” campaigns. This was the moment, as he expressed his hope that people would obtain constitutional recognition – finally with other previous British colonies – and that Australia will begin to reform what many see as a very broken relationship with the inhabitants of the indigenous and Torres.

But the proposal was decisively rejected, leaving many indigenous people who are disappointed and betrayed. Albaniz also left his wounds after a harmful campaign.

Some critics blame confusion and wrong information about the reason for the vote of about 60 % of Australians “no”. But while Albanez was carrying out a campaign to vote “yes”, opposition leader Peter Daton carried a campaign for “no”, and attacked Albanz to spend money on the referendum while the cost crisis intensified.

“[Dutton] “Not only did he win the referendum, but also won the status of work as a government that does not focus completely on issues of interest to Australia,” says Kos Samaras, the former political advisor and strategy.

During the Albaniz period, interest rates were put 12 times (and was reduced once, in February), inflation increased after birth, deepening the country’s housing crisis, and the Australians felt an increasing extension.

Although the Prime Minister will blame many of these issues in the feet of the previous coalition government, voters want to know who is the best in dealing with all of them now.

In the speech of Anthony Albaniz’s victory in 2022, he said that Australia was “the greatest country on earth.” Although Australian voters are increasingly wondering whether this is still true – and perhaps most importantly, if politicians of traditional parties are the ones who can fix it.

So although many of them are disappointed with work, this will not necessarily translate as a vote for the Dutton coalition in the ballot box.

The support of the small and independent parties has reached record levels in the previous elections, and it is expected that it will be the same time. If none of the parties reached the magic number of 76 seats in the House of Representatives, which the poll after survey was unlikely, independent candidates from the makers of any future government could be.

If this happens, Australia will be another page in a story that is revealed all over the world – where the rights of voters looking for more radical solutions and vote for change have been rights. In many places, this represents a real threat to democracy as people stop trusting the regime.

But while Australia faces the same challenges facing other parts of the world, some of the erection in its electoral system has so far warned of the radical fluctuations that we have seen in other countries, such as the United States, France and Germany.

All experts agree that compulsory vote is a major factor in political stability in Australia. In the 2022 elections, a sound less than 90 % of the population – much higher, is much higher than the average demand of the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development of 69 %. The fine for not voting in the federal elections is just $ 20, but there is a sense of duty here to go out and vote.

What this means is that politicians do not have to fill their rules – the turn of the given, it is only related to paying your novel. When voting is optional, there is a tendency to private interest groups until it becomes an excessive effect because those who are less involved decide not to vote. In addition, if everyone, regardless of their policies, education or wealth, to vote, it tends to attract the result towards a more representative center.

“[Australia’s] “This means that there are elections in the middle,” says Anthony Green, the country’s chief election analyst.

Experts say the other great installation of Australia is the preferential vote – as voters actually offer their candidates for those who want to win. That is why in recent years, the vegetables have appeared on the left and the nation on the right, but the Labor Party and the coalition still dominate. Experts say the preferential vote disturbs the effects of polarization and forces the two main parties to attract people who are not necessarily voting in their favor first in order to obtain their next preferences, which also helps in moderate politics.

Although the campaign will focus on the problems near the home, the candidates will be foolish to ignore the global political opposite winds.

During the presidential elections last year, a few analysts to whom they spoke believed that the White House will significantly affect Australia, and this is the relatively small and distant democracy.

But five months seem to be a lifelong in today’s policy. There is no day without Donald Trump to issue headlines and Australians to watch.

With Trump clearly ignoring the long alliances as well as the constant talk about definitions and commercial wars, all this plays a role in Australian concerns about their place in the world – and most importantly, the future of what is the most important diplomatic and military relationship.

Peter Dateon argues that he will be much better than Albanz in dealing with Trump. But there are doubts that anyone really knows how to deal with this new administration – politicians from all lines around the world feel that they are on their way to the best way to manage their relationship with the United States.

With Albanz launched the starting pistol today, Australians have a little more than a month of intensive election campaigns to help them identify those who want to lead them during the next three years.

While dealing with the Labor Party with the former Farid has improved its chances-the prime minister’s approval rates have increased to its highest level in 18 months-the polls indicated in recent months to the Datton administration.

It is still incredibly close, and the Albianssa government is facing an unenviable possibility of being the first to win a second term since 1931.