Kyiv, Ukraine -Before the Paris Emergency Summit on Europe’s response to exclusion from the American peace talks and the United States, the President of Ukraine warned of his dark future if US military aid is cut off.

“[W]will Low chance – a low opportunity to survive “Without support from the United States,” President Voludmir Zelinski said in an interview with him on the press.

In December, US President Donald Trump said It was open to the idea of ​​reducing military aid To Ukraine.

In a move that could increase its relations, Zelinski rejected a proposed American agreement that gives Washington to reach rare land minerals in Ukraine in exchange for continuing military aid.

The rejection, along with Trump’s recent statements and special calls with Zelinski and Russian President Vladimir Putin, has sparked new uncertainty about Washington’s long -term support for Kiev.

Dependence on Europe

With our uncertain support, Europe faces the escalating pressure to fill the gap.

During the Munich Security Conference from February 14 to 16, Zelinski seemed to respond to Trump’s actions and comments by raising the issue of Europe building its “army.”

“Let’s be honest. We cannot exclude the possibility that America says,” No “to Europe about a threat issue,” Zelesky said.

The Leftan, General Air Romano, Deputy Chief of the General Staff of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, said to the island that Ukraine would need more help than Europe can provide.

He said, “Europe cannot replace American aid,” adding that Ukraine will not survive for a long time without US military assistance and expect, “We will last six months.”

There are political complications that can interfere with European support.

Prime Minister Hungary Victor Urban and Prime Minister in Slovakia Robert Fico, both of whom are skeptical in military aid to Kev, can prevent decisions at the European Union level. Meanwhile, the AFD in the right Germany is rising in the polls, which increases the complexity of Europe’s ability to act decisively.

The alternative to Germany (AFD) is the fight against immigration, the anti -Europe union, often supportive. There are fears that can push to end Berlin’s help to Kyiv and deport Ukrainian refugees.

Even if Europe can reach an agreement to increase military aid to Ukraine, it has faced challenges in expanding the scope of weapons and ammunition production. It was the Russian defense industry NATO superior to the production of weaponsEmphasizing the need for the European Union to activate its defensive industrial base to effectively support Ukraine.

Russia has also received support from North Korea, as Ukrainian intelligence estimates that Pyongyang has sent thousands of forces to Russian territory. South Korea has reported that North Korea had provided Moscow with millions of artillery shells.

“It was bad”

Romanino indicated that Ukraine has already had a preview of life without American military assistance.

Republican militants were delayed under the influence of former President Donald Trump for several months A draft law was approved in April 2024 This would open the road for more than $ 60 billion in required financing for Ukraine.

“We have already seen what led to a six -month comment,” said Romanino.

Before agreeing to the package, Ukraine lost several strategic strongholds Romano said that in the southeast of Donabas, at the expense of “thousands of lives.”

Bouhajan, the military officer who was deployed in Donbas during the delay in military aid, told the island that the fighting had become more dangerous during that time.

“It was bad, we could not firing only five shells a day, while [expletive] Bohan, who could not give his last name due to the regulations of the Ministry of Defense in Ukraine, said:

“Mids of Summer or Fall”

With the vote of five separate bills through the US Congress, Washington has so far has yet provided $ 175 billion to help to Kiev since Russia has begun to invade it in February 2022.

Nikolai Metrokin, a researcher at the University of Bremen in Germany, told Al -Jazeera that how quickly Ukraine is going through its US -funded military supplies depends on how quickly its soldiers are forced to use it.

He said that the ongoing Russian air strikes mean that Kiev relies on missiles for the national -made air defense system in the United States. The Patriot missile costs several million dollars, and it is often spent on consuming targets such as Iranian -made drones or Russian -made symmetrical copies.

For this reason, the default is that the current and upcoming US supplies will certainly continue until mid -summer [July]If not even autumn [September]Provided that they spend moderately. “

He said that the loss of US military supplies cannot be compensated by Europe, especially when Patriot missiles, light armored vehicles and 155 mm shells are used to suppress Russian pedestrians.

Mitrokhin added that it is time or whether Ukraine must survive without US military assistance, the period that Russia and the United States take to deteriorate will be linked.

“Trump and Putin’s relationship will turn into acid, and we will soon see a decisive increase in American supplies.”

“Russians and Americans in expensive suits”

Kiev -based Alexei Kosch Kushche said that Zelinski was right to reject the Trump deal that linked military aid to metal resources in Ukraine.

He told Al -Jazeera that the United States should treat Ukraine as an ally and that “it will be” only if Washington wrote half of the debts and will take the time of the rest that will be paid by the end of the century.

“No one asked the Soviet Union to compensate for military aid by giving up its natural resources, referring to billions of dollars in the military equipment provided by Washington during World War II, Russia has completed payments in the 1990s.

“Why should Ukraine do, ally?” Kushche asked the island.

Regardless of whether the United States stops sending military aid, some Ukrainians are disappointed by the latest developments.

“As usual, another person will decide our destiny,” said Vsifolod Boiko, a retired school principal who fights his ihor in Donbas despite their wounds, to Al -Jazeera.

“A group of Russians and Americans in expensive allowances will bleed Ukraine without asking us,” said Boyko. “If we reject their circumstances, they will press the button to stop the aid.”